Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.037337 0.040373 0.043561 0.047165 0.051132 0.055370 0.060250
2025-02-23 0.032538 0.036836 0.041606 0.047312 0.053978 0.061553 0.070856
2025-03-02 0.029301 0.034327 0.040139 0.047399 0.056284 0.066882 0.080594
2025-03-09 0.026529 0.031926 0.038374 0.046713 0.057311 0.070467 0.088245
2025-03-16 0.024207 0.029788 0.036638 0.045759 0.057730 0.073109 0.094694
2025-03-23 0.022499 0.028235 0.035445 0.045299 0.058611 0.076257 0.101905
2025-03-30 0.021054 0.026885 0.034374 0.044852 0.059382 0.079201 0.108955
2025-04-06 0.019620 0.025439 0.033053 0.043928 0.059366 0.080973 0.114375
2025-04-13 0.018866 0.024840 0.032805 0.044424 0.061316 0.085594 0.124290
2025-04-20 0.018019 0.024052 0.032235 0.044400 0.062477 0.089096 0.132743
2025-04-27 0.017448 0.023606 0.032099 0.044966 0.064506 0.093992 0.143752
2025-05-04 0.016673 0.022824 0.031434 0.044697 0.065229 0.096898 0.151743
2025-05-11 0.015976 0.022125 0.030859 0.044535 0.066119 0.100153 0.160662
2025-05-18 0.015274 0.021384 0.030179 0.044167 0.066649 0.102847 0.168847
2025-05-25 0.014717 0.020825 0.029737 0.044132 0.067690 0.106430 0.178892
2025-06-01 0.014042 0.020057 0.028936 0.043475 0.067658 0.108178 0.185733
2025-06-08 0.013360 0.019246 0.028030 0.042594 0.067182 0.109108 0.191098
2025-06-15 0.012835 0.018652 0.027429 0.042171 0.067443 0.111323 0.199085
2025-06-22 0.012348 0.018095 0.026858 0.041760 0.067689 0.113509 0.207189
2025-06-29 0.011794 0.017409 0.026053 0.040912 0.067109 0.114133 0.212188
2025-07-06 0.011558 0.017215 0.026022 0.041367 0.068864 0.119195 0.226763
2025-07-13 0.011235 0.016867 0.025725 0.041345 0.069749 0.122660 0.238312
2025-07-20 0.011039 0.016716 0.025742 0.041865 0.071652 0.128216 0.254940